A lot can happen in three years. A lot of quarterbacks who are locks to be the long term starter don’t work out for whatever reason (Andrew Luck, Marcus Mariota, etc). Also, a lot of pretty unknown quarterbacks somehow become starters (Brady, Dak, etc). Even though it is pretty much impossible to predict who will be starting for each team in three years I am going to try.
Patriots- Trey Lance, North Dakota State. I feel like Jarrett Stidham is going to be bad next year. In college he had two solid seasons as a starter, but nothing special. I feel like in the NFL he’s gonna be a below average or bad starter, and will get replaced in next years draft. I think the Patriots will be about 7-9, so they will take Trey Lance in the 15-20 range.
Bills- Josh Allen, barely. In my opinion Josh Allen is getting kind of overrated. He’s a decent player, but he’s never gonna be a elite quarterback or anything close. I think he’s good enough to stay the starter on this solid team, but just barely.
Dolphins- Tua. Unless Tua turns out to be one of the biggest draft busts ever he will be the starter three years from now. I think he will be an above average player, not great not bad, and will be the starter for a while.
Jets- Sam Howell, UNC. Sam Howell was one of the best quarterbacks in college football last year as a freshman. I expect him to get better every season, and in 2022 or 2023 will be one of the top 5 picks in the draft. Sam Darnold has proven to be pretty below average so far, so replacing him will be a need down the line. The Jets will most likely be still terrible in 2022 and 2023, so he will be there if they want him.
Jaguars- Trevor Lawrence, Clemson. Gardner Minshew is a pretty decent quarterback, but he’s just not a long term starter in my opinion. The Jaguars will be awful next year, probably bad enough to get the first overall pick. With that first overall pick I think they will take the best player available, Trevor Lawrence. I feel like Trevor Lawrence will be really good in the NFL, and could maybe even turn this franchise around.
Texans- Deshaun Watson. This one is kind of obvious. Deshaun Watson has already proved himself to be a top ten quarterback, maybe even top five. Despite having a bad offensive line and no weapons I expect him to become an elite quarterback and mvp candidate in the future.
Colts- Mitch Trubisky. This one seems kind of questionable, but I can see it happening. With Phillip Rivers most likely retiring next year the Colts will need a quarterback. The problem with that is they are a solid team that will probably make the playoffs. This means they would have to draft a franchise quarterback in the late first round. I feel like instead of doing that the Colts will trade for or sign for Mitch Trubisky, a quarterback in need of a second chance. I think even though Mitch Trubisky has proven to be pretty mid, he will be given a second chance because of how high his potential is. He could be decent with the right weapons.
Titans- Ryan Tannehill, barely. I think Ryan Tannehill is a pretty good quarterback. Last year he had a solid season in the games he actually started, and was given a giant contract, which shows they believe in him. The problem with him is he will be 34 three years from now, and will probably decline a little. I feel like if he still is the starter he will at least have some competition behind him.
Bengals- Joe Burrow. Another pretty obvious one in my opinion. Unless Joe turns out to be Jamarcus Russell part two (he won’t) then he will be the starter. I feel like he will be really good if not great, and will help the Bengals turn around the franchise.
Browns- Baker Mayfield. Baker struggled badly last year, but i still think he has what it takes to start in the NFL, especially the Browns. Next year will be big in deciding if he is their quarterback of the future, and with all the weapons he has to throw to now I feel like he will prove people wrong.
Ravens- Lamar Jackson. Lamar Jackson is a great player no doubt, but he is at risk for a serious injury. He 100% will be the number one quarterback for the future, but I can see whoever is backing him up getting some playing time too, hate to say it. Still, if he stays healthy he will continue to be a great dual threat quarterback.
Steelers- Sam Ehlinger, Texas. Sam Ehlinger is a really solid player for Texas who will probably go in the first round next year. Ben Roethlisberger has had retirement rumors for years now, and I think next season will be his last. This puts the Steelers in a tough spot because they will probably make the playoffs next year, giving them a pick in the 20s. I think with this pick they will select Sam Ehlinger, who will go on to have a decent career.
Chargers- Justin Herbert. Pretty tough to lose your starting job in three seasons as a top 6 pick. I do feel like Herbert will be a bust because of his College tape, but I still think he will just barely be good enough to start for them in three years. Wouldn’t be suprised if there is a quarterback competition, but for now I see him as the starter.
Broncos- Drew Lock. I don’t really see Drew Lock becoming great or anything, but I think he will be around for awhile. I feel like he will be a Joe Flacco type quarterback who gets carried by his defense. I don’t think he will be bad, but because of team success and just being good enough he will stick around.
Raiders- Marcus Mariota. This is another hot take, but hear me out. This is Derek Carr’s make or break year. He needs to prove himself now or basically become a backup for the rest of his career. I feel like in 2020 he will disappoint, and will get benched for Mariota. Marcus Mariota isn’t great, but I think he will be able to prove himself for two more seasons, making him the starter three years from now.
Chiefs- Patrick Mahomes. Another obvious one, if he stays healthy he will 100% be the starter and probably the best quarterback still three years from now.
Thoughts ?